Bulletin of the American Physical Society
2023 APS March Meeting
Volume 68, Number 3
Las Vegas, Nevada (March 5-10)
Virtual (March 20-22); Time Zone: Pacific Time
Session B50: Russia's Attack on Ukraine: Effects on the Threat of Nuclear War and the Future of Arms Control
11:30 AM–2:30 PM,
Monday, March 6, 2023
Room: Room 320
Sponsoring
Unit:
FPS
Chair: Frederick Lamb, University of Illinois
Abstract: B50.00003 : The Growing Nuclear Danger and Options for Stepping Back from the Brink*
12:42 PM–1:18 PM
Presenter:
Daryl Kimball
(Arms Control Association)
Author:
Daryl Kimball
(Arms Control Association)
Collaboration:
NA
In August 2022, U.S. President Joe Biden noted, “Even at the height of the Cold War, the United States and the Soviet Union were able to work together to uphold our shared responsibility to ensure strategic stability." He said that his administration "is ready to expeditiously negotiate a new arms control framework" to replace the only remaining bilateral arms control agreement, the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, which expires in early 2026.
At the same time, China is responding to a more adversarial relationship with the United States by moving quickly fortify its smaller but still deadly arsenal. There are currently no nuclear risk reduction or arms control talks between leaders from Washington and Beijing.
All three countries are pursuing modernization programs to sustain and upgrade their nuclear arsenals. Without the negotiation of a new U.S.-Russian nuclear arms control framework, and the initiation of a strategic risk reduction dialogue with China, the risk of nuclear arms racing, and nuclear conflict will increase.
This presentation will provide an up-to-date assessment of the nuclear risk dimensions of the conflict in Ukraine and outline potential policy and negiating options for nuclear risk reduction and arms control agreements involving the United States, Russia, and China in today's fraught geopolitical environment.
*Support provided by the Arms Control Association and the Physicists Coalition for Nuclear Threat Reduction
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