Bulletin of the American Physical Society
APS March Meeting 2016
Volume 61, Number 2
Monday–Friday, March 14–18, 2016; Baltimore, Maryland
Session C55: The Physics of EpidemicsInvited
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Sponsoring Units: FPS DBIO Chair: Walter Beyerler, Sandia National Labs Room: Hilton Baltimore Holiday Ballroom 6 |
Monday, March 14, 2016 2:30PM - 3:06PM |
C55.00001: Mitigating Infectious Disease Outbreaks Invited Speaker: Victoria Davey The emergence of new, transmissible infections poses a significant threat to human populations. As the 2009 novel influenza A/H1N1 pandemic and the 2014-2015 Ebola epidemic demonstrate, we have observed the effects of rapid spread of illness in non-immune populations and experienced disturbing uncertainty about future potential for human suffering and societal disruption. Clinical and epidemiologic characteristics of a newly emerged infectious organism are usually gathered in retrospect as the outbreak evolves and affects populations. Knowledge of potential effects of outbreaks and epidemics and most importantly, mitigation at community, regional, national and global levels is needed to inform policy that will prepare and protect people. Study of possible outcomes of evolving epidemics and application of mitigation strategies is not possible in observational or experimental research designs, but computational modeling allows conduct of `virtual' experiments. Results of well-designed computer simulations can aid in the selection and implementation of strategies that limit illness and death, and maintain systems of healthcare and other critical resources that are vital to public protection. [Preview Abstract] |
Monday, March 14, 2016 3:06PM - 3:42PM |
C55.00002: TBD Invited Speaker: Charles Macal |
Monday, March 14, 2016 3:42PM - 4:18PM |
C55.00003: TBD Invited Speaker: Timothy Lant |
Monday, March 14, 2016 4:18PM - 4:54PM |
C55.00004: What do public health officials expect from modelers during a response to an epidemic or outbreak? Invited Speaker: Martin Meltzer Since 2009, the CDC has participated in emergency responses ranging from small domestic outbreaks involving a few hundred people, to international public health emergencies affecting millions of individuals from around the world. Each response required unique skills from the CDC'S Modeling Task Force to address public health officials' questions and to help them make informed decisions. This presentation will discuss the roll of the Modeling Task Forces in the CDC's Incident Management structure and some of the models used to assist officials in making decisions about the potential size of the public health crisis, how effective interventions could be, and what resources are required. [Preview Abstract] |
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